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Global Political Implications of Donald Trump’s Presidency
Following the astounding win against Hilary Clinton, Donald Trump has managed to clinch the seat of the American presidency (Lee & Troianovaski, 2017). Unlike most of his predecessors, Donald trump as the U.S president has adopted a combative approach in handling world affairs, and this is likely to shape world politics with various nations likely to benefit while other are likely to lose. The combative approach is likely to reshape the prior alliances that had been established by America and the same is expected to result in the inception of new alliances (Lee & Troianovaski, 2017). For that reason, it is imperative that we look at how Trumps presidency is going to affect the world politics.The inherent analysis is based on the intrigues of Trump’s presidency and the characteristic implications.
A lot of criticism has ensued following Trump’s hateful rhetorics with many fearing the possibility of him breaking the domestic norms that have been established over time. However, the primary concern that the people have is the implications of his presidency across the globe. The concern stems from his campaign promises in which he advocated for a withdrawal from the world trade organizations (WTO) and NATO as well as revoking of the Iran nuclear deal and the Paris Climatic Change agreement.
Trump’s presidency has raised several security questions in the Asian regions. A few days after his election into office, Trump through a patched call congratulated Tsai Ing-Wen for his victory as the president of the Republic of Taiwan (Baker, 2017). The move is contrary to the bipartisan policy that has been instituted for over forty years in which America has always regarded mainland China as the key participant in matters of international relations. Their political relationship with China has remained volatile, and this is the sole reason why America through its previous presidents has always stuck to the ‘One China policy’ as a way of making its political relationship with the communist China more favorable. Nevertheless, America remains as an influence on the growth of China.
Trump is also likely to contribute to the increased nuclear tension in the Asian region (BBC News, 2017). Besides blatantly applauding the Taiwanese president, Trump through the secretary of state has threatened to block China from accessing the humanmade islands constructed in the confined of South China Sea (BBC News, 2017). Trump has also gone ahead to single out South Korea and Japan as being over reliant on America, a factor that may significantly compromise their relationship with these two countries. Trump presidency is also facing threats from North Korea, a renegade state in the Asian region, which is currently embarked on developing its own nuclear arsenal. The American president is therefore confronted with the challenge of curbing North Korean ambitions to develop nuclear weapons as one of the country’s security measures. How he plans to handle this issue is yet to be seen and analyzed.
The immediate predecessor of Trump, President Barack Obama instituted and used more subtle policies whereby he controlled North Korea by imposing various sanctions to make them cease their nuclear initiatives. President Obama even went ahead to encourage other countries such as China to also sanction North Korea (BBC News, 2017). However, with Trumps presidency, America has taken a different approach in handling the matter, and this is likely to worsen the political relationships, between America and North Korea. Trump through his speech has threatened to use military intervention to stop North Korea from developing nuclear weapons. In response, North Korea has remained adamant and has threatened to conduct nuclear tests on a weekly basis and in the event, they are provoked, they will retaliate through nuclear strikes.
Trumps presidency is also likely to damage the political relationship between America and Russia. Prior to his election, Trump had applauded the Russian president for being a strong president and expressed his wishes to cultivate a healthy political relationship (BBC News, 2017). However, following his election into office and the disclosures by the American intelligence agencies that Russia was involved in the hacking of the Democrat Party emails, trumps has since changed his perception towards Vladimir. There have also been allegations that Russia had a hand in trumps election into office, a factor that Trumps has dismissed.
Before inauguration, Trump had expressed his intentions of trusting Russia, again on the conditions that Russia had to observe the trust (BBC News, 2017). However, this has changed following the Syrian Chemical attacks; in which the Syrian government is being accused as an active participant with the backing of the Russian government. In line with this, Trump has publicly pointed out that their political relationship with Russia is currently at its worst.
The trump presidency is also threatening the relationship between America and the various North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) members. Though his claims trump has been attacking NATO as an organization with claims that it has become outdated and that its member countries are ungrateful allies who are offering America nothing in return (BBC News, 2017). Earlier on the American president had gone ahead to demand that the entire NATO members contribute up to 2% of their Gross domestic product (GDP) to fund their military activities. Although the NATO chief seems to have acknowledged the need for a collective responsibility by the members of the NATO, the relationship between NATO members and America is not as it was before. However, trump has gone ahead to say that NATO is no longer obsolete and that its members should seek the various ways to help its members such as Afghanistan and Iraq.
Obama had been elected to office to put a stop to the U.S wars in Afghanistan and Iraq, and this made him hesitant to intervene in the Middle East conflicts (BBC, 2017). He stuck to his belief that military intervention would do no good even when the atrocities in Syria had become clear (BBC, 2017). Obama had focused on funding the Syrian government and providing aid to keep the Syrian rebels in check, to spearhead ceasefire, and to start amicable political negotiations. The move is different from Trump’s approach. In April Trump authorized a missile strike on a Syrian airbase. Trumps claimed that the strike was a warning against the Syrians following the chemical attack in Syria (BBC News, 2017). The Airstrike on the Syrian airspace has then been followed by the Bombing of the Islamic State Militants in Afghanistan, a move that shows that America has currently assumed a dynamic role in the foreign conflicts.
Trump’s presidency is also expected to influence the politics of America and Israel. One of the key foreign policies that America has stuck with is their policy to support and aid Israel. Previous American presidents usually backed Israel officially despite their varied opinions (Baker, 2017). However, during Obama’s presidency, this norm changed as the two heads of state clearly expressed their animosity towards each other. The animosity could be seen when America boycotted the United Nations (UN) Security Council meeting whose agendum was to pass a resolution demanding that Israel stop establishing settlements in Palestinian territories. However, this politics of rivalry between America and Israel is likely to change during Trumps presidency since Trump has gone ahead to encourage Israel to establish the settlements.
Finally, Trump’s presidency is likely to influence global politics through his nuclear weapon agenda. With Trump’s presidency, the relationship between America and countries like North Korea and Iran is likely to remain in jeopardy (Baker, 2017). Unlike his predecessor, Trump’s opinion is different when it comes to nuclear arsenals. Despite George Bush push for global nuclear disarmament, he did not attack or taunt nations having similar nuclear might. Nevertheless, president trump has made nuclear weaponry as one of the cornerstones of security. The presoidmet has constantly warned nations such as North Korea against amassing nuclear might (Baker, 2017). The move is likely to damage the political relationship of America with such countries.
Despite the pointers as to what the political relationship between America and other nations around the world might be, it is still very early to determine such outcomes with certainty. Trump has remained unpredictable, and he is constantly changing his political opinions every single day. The president’s disposition has left the previous strategic allies of America doubtful, as they are not certain as to what his presidency holds for their political association. Nevertheless, Trump’s presidency will negatively affect politics in some parts of the world while in other parts it is likely to have a positive political impact.